Rugby Town vs Boldmere St. Michaels: result 1-0 and analysis
FA CupExtra Preliminary RoundKick-off on August 7, 2021 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Butlin Road, Rugby, Warwikshire
Full time
What was the result of Rugby Town vs Boldmere St. Michaels?
Rugby Town won 1-0 on August 7, 2021.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rugby Town have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Boldmere St. Michaels have 4, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2020 | Worcester City(home) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Aug 10, 2019 | Sporting Khalsa(away) | 4-5 | FA Cup |
| Oct 11, 2016 | Bedworth United(home) | 0-2 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 8, 2016 | Bedworth United(away) | 3-3 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 13, 2015 | Brackley Town(home) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 10, 2021 | Halesowen Town(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 1, 2020 | Sporting Khalsa(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 7, 2019 | Stratford Town(away) | 1-6 | FA Cup |
| Sep 2, 2019 | Stourport Swifts(home) | 4-1 | FA Cup |
| Aug 24, 2019 | Stourport Swifts(away) | 0-0 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Rugby Town score 1.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Boldmere St. Michaels score 1.4 and concede 2.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rugby Town | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Boldmere St. Michaels | 1.4 | 2.6 | 1 | 9/14 | 12/14 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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