Russia vs Venezuela: prediction and stats
FriendliesFriendly InternationalKick-off on November 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Luzhniki, Moskva
The Footlab AI model makes Russia the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Venezuela. The most likely score is 1-1. If Russia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,491 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Russia vs Venezuela?
Russia starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,684 vs 1,574).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Russia vs Venezuela
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Russia
4-3-3- 59A. Miranchuk
- 20L. Sadulaev
- 7A. Sobolev
- 27I. Oblyakov
- 11A. Batrakov
- 31M. Kislyak
- 14V. Melekhin
- 5M. Osipenko
- 30I. Vakhania
- 4D. Krugovoy
- 1A. Maksimenko
Venezuela
4-5-1- 19K. Kelsy
- 10D. Pereira
- 18M. Libra
- 6Y. Herrera
- 16W. Carmona
- 25A. Araujo
- 15D. Alfonzo
- 24Y. Osorio
- 4J. Aramburu
- 2N. Ferraresi
- 1J. Contreras
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 11:28 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Russia have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Venezuela have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Nigeria(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Namibia(home) | 6-0 | Friendlies |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Iran(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Trinidad and Tobago(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Burkina Faso(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Jordan(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Oct 2, 2026 | South Korea(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Japan(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Iraq(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Türkiye(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Russia score 2.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Venezuela score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia | 2.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Venezuela | 1.0 | 1.3 | 7 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Russia vs Venezuela?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Russia vs Venezuela?
- The Footlab AI model makes Russia the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Venezuela.
- Where and when is Russia vs Venezuela played?
- Russia vs Venezuela is played on November 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Luzhniki, in the Friendlies.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.