Ružomberok vs Spartak Trnava: prediction and stats
Super LigaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Futbalový štadión MFK Ružomberok, Ružomberok
The Footlab model makes Spartak Trnava the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Ružomberok. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ružomberok vs Spartak Trnava?
Spartak Trnava starts as the favourite with a 211-point Elo edge (1,945 vs 1,734).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ružomberok have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Spartak Trnava have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dukla Banská Bystrica(home) | 0-1 | Super Liga |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Spišské Podhradie(away) | 5-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slovan Bratislava(away) | 0-5 | Super Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Podbrezová(home) | 1-4 | Super Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Skalica(away) | 1-2 | Super Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | AS Trencin(away) | 4-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Trenčianske Stankovce(home) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Zemplín Michalovce(home) | 2-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dukla Banská Bystrica(home) | 3-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Komárno(away) | 2-1 | Super Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Ružomberok win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Spartak Trnava win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2025 | Ružomberok 1-1 Spartak Trnava | Super Liga |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Spartak Trnava 3-0 Ružomberok | Super Liga |
| May 1, 2025 | Ružomberok 0-1 Spartak Trnava | Cup |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Ružomberok 0-2 Spartak Trnava | Super Liga |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Spartak Trnava 2-2 Ružomberok | Super Liga |
| May 4, 2024 | Spartak Trnava 1-0 Ružomberok | Super Liga |
Last archived meeting: Ružomberok vs Spartak Trnava on Oct 26, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Ružomberok score 1.2 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Spartak Trnava score 1.6 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ružomberok | 1.2 | 2.0 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Spartak Trnava | 1.6 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ružomberok sit 12th in Super Liga (1 points from 5 matches) and Spartak Trnava sit 3rd (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spartak Trnava | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| 12 | Ružomberok | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ružomberok vs Spartak Trnava?
- The Footlab model makes Spartak Trnava the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Ružomberok.
- Where and when is Ružomberok vs Spartak Trnava played?
- Ružomberok vs Spartak Trnava is played on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Futbalový štadión MFK Ružomberok, in the Super Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.