Səbail II vs Ağsu: result 2-1 and analysis
Birinci DastaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 28, 2018 at 11:30 AM (UTC)ASCO Arena, Baku
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What was the result of Səbail II vs Ağsu?
Səbail II won 2-1 on September 28, 2018.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Səbail II have 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Ağsu have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2018 | Keşlə II(away) | 2-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 14, 2018 | Sumqayıt II(away) | 1-4 | Birinci Dasta |
| Aug 27, 2018 | Şüvəlan(home) | 1-2 | Birinci Dasta |
| Aug 23, 2018 | Zirə II(away) | 2-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2018 | Sumqayıt II(home) | 0-3 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 13, 2018 | Şüvəlan(away) | 0-2 | Birinci Dasta |
| Aug 28, 2018 | Zirə II(home) | 1-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Aug 24, 2018 | Turan(away) | 1-2 | Birinci Dasta |
| May 11, 2018 | Qaradağ Lökbatan(away) | 1-0 | Birinci Dasta |
How many goals should we expect?
Səbail II score 1.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 4; Ağsu score 0.7 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Səbail II | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0 | 4/4 | 4/4 |
| Ağsu | 0.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy