Səbail vs Karvan: result 1-1 and analysis
Birinci DastaRegular Season - 4Kick-off on October 8, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)ASCO Arena, Baku
Full time
What was the result of Səbail vs Karvan?
Səbail and Karvan drew 1-1 on October 8, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 7′DinhoSəbail
- 61′O. SilasKarvan
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Səbail win at 55%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Səbail have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Karvan have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2026 | Baku Sportinq(away) | 1-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Mingəçevir(home) | 2-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Xankəndi FK(away) | 1-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| May 22, 2026 | Mingəçevir(away) | 1-4 | Birinci Dasta |
| May 15, 2026 | Şahdağ(home) | 0-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2026 | Zaqatala(home) | 3-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Şahdağ(away) | 0-2 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Baku Sportinq(away) | 3-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| May 24, 2026 | Imisli FK(away) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| May 15, 2026 | Qabala(home) | 1-2 | Premyer Liqa |
How many goals should we expect?
Səbail score 2.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Karvan score 1.1 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Səbail | 2.1 | 0.7 | 9 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Karvan | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Səbail sit 3rd in Birinci Dasta (8 points from 4 matches) and Karvan sit 4th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Səbail | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| 4 | Karvan | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
A question about Səbail vs Karvan?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy