Səbail vs Qarabag: result 2-1 and analysis
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 3, 2023 at 03:30 PM (UTC)ASCO Arena, Baku
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What was the result of Səbail vs Qarabag?
Səbail won 2-1 on September 3, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 3′H. KeytaQarabag
- 17′A. RamalingomSəbail (pen.)
- 42′A. RamalingomSəbail
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Səbail have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Qarabag have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2023 | Turan(away) | 3-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Zira(home) | 1-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 14, 2023 | Neftchi Baku(away) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Sumqayıt(home) | 1-4 | Premyer Liqa |
| Jul 21, 2023 | Konyaspor(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2023 | Olimpija Ljubljana(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Kapaz(home) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 24, 2023 | Olimpija Ljubljana(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Araz(home) | 2-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 17, 2023 | HJK Helsinki(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Səbail win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Qarabag win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2023 | Səbail 0-3 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Qarabag 3-0 Səbail | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 24, 2022 | Səbail 0-3 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 6, 2022 | Qarabag 3-1 Səbail | Premyer Liqa |
| May 15, 2022 | Səbail 0-3 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 2, 2022 | Qarabag 5-1 Səbail | Premyer Liqa |
How many goals should we expect?
Səbail score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Qarabag score 1.7 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Səbail | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Qarabag | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Qarabag | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy