Səbail vs Qarabag: result 2-1 and analysis
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 3, 2023 at 03:30 PM (UTC)ASCO Arena, Baku
Full time
What was the result of Səbail vs Qarabag?
Səbail won 2-1 on September 3, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 3′H. KeytaQarabag
- 17′A. RamalingomSəbail (pen.)
- 42′A. RamalingomSəbail
Official lineup for Səbail vs Qarabag
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Səbail
- 10A. Ramazanov
- 90A. Ramalingom
- 99David Gomis
- 21A. Najah
- 27Pedro Nuno
- 88Paná
- 4A. Mehremić
- 18S. Əhmədov
- 55N. Bardea
- 74Y. Nəbiyev
- 1S. Ağayev
Qarabag
- 17H. Keyta
- 18Juninho
- 19R. Xhixha
- 20R. Almeyda
- 90N. Axundzadə
- 6Júlio Romão
- 2Matheus Silva
- 4R. Məmmədov
- 27T. Bayramov
- 81K. Medina
- 1Ş. Məhəmmədəliyev
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Səbail have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Qarabag have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2023 | Turan(away) | 3-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Zira(home) | 1-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 14, 2023 | Neftchi Baku(away) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Sumqayıt(home) | 1-4 | Premyer Liqa |
| Jul 21, 2023 | Konyaspor(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2023 | Olimpija Ljubljana(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Kapaz(home) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 24, 2023 | Olimpija Ljubljana(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Araz(home) | 2-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 17, 2023 | HJK Helsinki(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Səbail wins, 0 draws, 6 Qarabag wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2023 | Səbail 0-3 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Qarabag 3-0 Səbail | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 24, 2022 | Səbail 0-3 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 6, 2022 | Qarabag 3-1 Səbail | Premyer Liqa |
| May 15, 2022 | Səbail 0-3 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 2, 2022 | Qarabag 5-1 Səbail | Premyer Liqa |
How many goals should we expect?
Səbail score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Qarabag score 1.7 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Səbail | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Qarabag | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Qarabag | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 16 |
A question about Səbail vs Qarabag?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy