Səbail vs Qarabag: result 1-2 and analysis
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 3, 2024 at 11:00 AM (UTC)ASCO Arena, Baku
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What was the result of Səbail vs Qarabag?
Qarabag won 1-2 on February 3, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 14′T. BayramovQarabag (pen.)
- 59′Y. BenziaQarabag (pen.)
- 67′Pedro NunoSəbail (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Səbail have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Qarabag have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2024 | Zira(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Jan 26, 2024 | Turan(away) | 1-3 | Premyer Liqa |
| Jan 22, 2024 | Zira(home) | 0-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Jan 15, 2024 | Fakel(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 12, 2024 | Universitatea Cluj(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2024 | Sabah FA(away) | 7-1 | Cup |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Kapaz(away) | 2-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Jan 23, 2024 | Araz(home) | 3-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 24, 2023 | Zira(away) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 21, 2023 | MOIK(home) | 1-0 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Səbail win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Qarabag win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2023 | Qarabag 3-1 Səbail | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Səbail 2-1 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| May 13, 2023 | Səbail 0-3 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Qarabag 3-0 Səbail | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 24, 2022 | Səbail 0-3 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 6, 2022 | Qarabag 3-1 Səbail | Premyer Liqa |
How many goals should we expect?
Səbail score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Qarabag score 2.8 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Səbail | 1.6 | 1.2 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Qarabag | 2.8 | 0.9 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Qarabag | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy