Səbail vs Qarabag: result 1-4 and analysis
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 11, 2025 at 03:00 PM (UTC)ASCO Arena, Baku
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What was the result of Səbail vs Qarabag?
Qarabag won 1-4 on April 11, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 17′A. ZoubirQarabag
- 19′Leandro AndradeQarabag
- 53′Leandro AndradeQarabag
- 65′Leandro AndradeQarabag
- 72′David GomisSəbail
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Səbail have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Qarabag have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | Turan(home) | 0-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Kapaz(away) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Neftchi Baku(home) | 1-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Zira(away) | 0-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Mar 3, 2025 | Şamaxı FK(home) | 0-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | Zira(home) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 2, 2025 | Araz(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Mar 28, 2025 | Turan(away) | 4-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Kapaz(away) | 0-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Araz(away) | 3-1 | Premyer Liqa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Səbail win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Qarabag win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | Qarabag 3-1 Səbail | Cup |
| Feb 11, 2025 | Qarabag 5-0 Səbail | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 6, 2025 | Səbail 0-1 Qarabag | Cup |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Səbail 0-3 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Qarabag 2-1 Səbail | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Qarabag 4-2 Səbail | Premyer Liqa |
How many goals should we expect?
Səbail score 0.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Qarabag score 1.7 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Səbail | 0.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Qarabag | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Qarabag | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy