Səbail vs Qarabag: result 0-1 and analysis
CupQuarter-finalsKick-off on February 6, 2025 at 02:30 PM (UTC)ASCO Arena, Baku
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What was the result of Səbail vs Qarabag?
Qarabag won 0-1 on February 6, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 35′Y. BenziaQarabag
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Səbail have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Qarabag have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | Turan(away) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Kapaz(home) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Sumqayıt(away) | 2-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Zira(home) | 0-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Şamaxı FK(away) | 0-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025 | Zira(away) | 2-3 | Premyer Liqa |
| Jan 30, 2025 | Olympiakos Piraeus(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Turan(home) | 1-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Jan 23, 2025 | FCSB(home) | 2-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jan 17, 2025 | Şamaxı FK(home) | 3-2 | Premyer Liqa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Səbail win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Qarabag win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2024 | Səbail 0-3 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Qarabag 2-1 Səbail | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Qarabag 4-2 Səbail | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Səbail 1-2 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Qarabag 3-1 Səbail | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Səbail 2-1 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
How many goals should we expect?
Səbail score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Qarabag score 2.0 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Səbail | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
| Qarabag | 2.0 | 1.3 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy