Səbail vs Qarabag: result 0-1 and analysis
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on February 18, 2018 at 01:30 PM (UTC)ASCO Arena, Baku
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What was the result of Səbail vs Qarabag?
Qarabag won 0-1 on February 18, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 51′M. EmreliQarabag
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Səbail have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Qarabag have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2018 | Şamaxı FK(away) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 15, 2017 | Qabala(home) | 2-4 | Cup |
| Dec 11, 2017 | Qabala(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Dec 8, 2017 | Qarabag(home) | 0-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 3, 2017 | Zira(home) | 0-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2018 | Qabala(home) | 0-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 15, 2017 | Sumqayıt(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Dec 11, 2017 | Sumqayıt(home) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Dec 8, 2017 | Səbail(away) | 2-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 5, 2017 | AS Roma(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Səbail win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Qarabag win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2017 | Səbail 0-2 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 27, 2017 | Qarabag 1-0 Səbail | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 3, 2016 | Qarabag 5-0 Səbail | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Səbail score 0.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Qarabag score 1.1 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Səbail | 0.8 | 1.7 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Qarabag | 1.1 | 0.8 | 8 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Qarabag | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy