Sabah FA vs Penang: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 2Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Likas Stadium, Kota Kinabalu
The Footlab model makes Sabah FA the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Penang. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sabah FA vs Penang?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Sabah FA (1,564) and Penang (1,529).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sabah FA have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Penang have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Persib Bandung(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 15, 2026 | Terengganu(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 9, 2026 | DPMM FC Brunei(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| May 2, 2026 | Pdrm(home) | 5-1 | Super League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Penang(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | DPMM FC Brunei(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 15, 2026 | DPMM FC Brunei(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| May 8, 2026 | Pdrm(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| May 2, 2026 | Selangor(away) | 0-4 | Super League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sabah FA(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sabah FA win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Penang win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Penang 0-0 Sabah FA | Super League |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Sabah FA 0-0 Penang | MFL Cup |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Penang 1-1 Sabah FA | MFL Cup |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Sabah FA 3-2 Penang | Super League |
| Oct 25, 2024 | Penang 0-4 Sabah FA | Super League |
| May 12, 2024 | Sabah FA 0-0 Penang | Super League |
How many goals should we expect?
Sabah FA score 0.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Penang score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabah FA | 0.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Penang | 0.9 | 1.2 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Penang | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sabah FA vs Penang?
- The Footlab model makes Sabah FA the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Penang.
- Where and when is Sabah FA vs Penang played?
- Sabah FA vs Penang is played on August 28, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Likas Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.