Săcele vs Baicoi: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 2Group 2 - 11Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)StadionulPrecizia Săcele, Săcele
The Footlab model makes Săcele the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Baicoi. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Săcele vs Baicoi?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Săcele (1,354) and Baicoi (1,417).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Săcele have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Baicoi have 6, 0 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Corona Braşov(away) | 0-3 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Kids Tâmpa Braşov(home) | 2-2 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Pucioasa(home) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| May 8, 2026 | Baicoi(away) | 2-4 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| May 2, 2026 | Valenii de Munte(home) | 7-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Metalul Buzău(home) | 2-4 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Berca(away) | 3-2 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Plopeni(away) | 2-1 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Progresul Mogosoaia(away) | 2-4 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| May 8, 2026 | Săcele(home) | 4-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Săcele win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Baicoi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Baicoi 4-2 Săcele | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Baicoi 2-1 Săcele | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Săcele 1-3 Baicoi | Liga III - Serie 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Săcele score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Baicoi score 1.4 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Săcele | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Baicoi | 1.4 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Săcele vs Baicoi?
- The Footlab model makes Săcele the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Baicoi.
- Where and when is Săcele vs Baicoi played?
- Săcele vs Baicoi is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at StadionulPrecizia Săcele, in the Liga III - Serie 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.