Sacramento Republic vs Hartford Athletic: result 0-1 and analysis
USL League One CupFinalKick-off on October 5, 2025 at 02:00 AM (UTC)Heart Health Park, Sacramento, California
Full time
What was the result of Sacramento Republic vs Hartford Athletic?
Hartford Athletic won 0-1 on October 5, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 51′S. CareagaHartford Athletic
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sacramento Republic have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Hartford Athletic have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2025 | Orange County SC(home) | 2-1 | USL Championship |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Monterey Bay(away) | 0-1 | USL Championship |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Colorado Springs(away) | 2-0 | USL Championship |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Phoenix Rising(home) | 2-2 | USL Championship |
| Sep 10, 2025 | Rhode Island(away) | 0-0 | USL League One Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2025 | Colorado Springs(away) | 2-0 | USL Championship |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds(home) | 1-2 | USL Championship |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Monterey Bay(away) | 4-0 | USL Championship |
| Sep 10, 2025 | Greenville Triumph(home) | 3-1 | USL League One Cup |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Miami FC(away) | 1-0 | USL Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Sacramento Republic win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Hartford Athletic win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2024 | Sacramento Republic 1-0 Hartford Athletic | USL Championship |
| May 26, 2023 | Hartford Athletic 1-4 Sacramento Republic | USL Championship |
Last archived meeting: Sacramento Republic vs Hartford Athletic on Jun 30, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Sacramento Republic score 1.4 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Hartford Athletic score 2.1 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento Republic | 1.4 | 0.6 | 9 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Hartford Athletic | 2.1 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sacramento Republic sit 11th in USL League One Cup (9 points from 4 matches) and Hartford Athletic sit 9th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hartford Athletic | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 7 |
| 1 | Sacramento Republic | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 8 |
| 9 | Hartford Athletic | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
| 11 | Sacramento Republic | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy