Sacramento Republic vs Louisville City: result 1-1 and analysis
USL ChampionshipRegular Season - 6Kick-off on April 6, 2025 at 02:00 AM (UTC)Heart Health Park, Sacramento, California
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What was the result of Sacramento Republic vs Louisville City?
Sacramento Republic and Louisville City drew 1-1 on April 6, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 69′C. ParanoSacramento Republic
- 90′A. DiaLouisville City
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sacramento Republic have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Louisville City have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | FC Tulsa(away) | 0-1 | USL Championship |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Colorado Springs(home) | 2-2 | USL Championship |
| Mar 9, 2025 | New Mexico United(home) | 2-1 | USL Championship |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Monterey Bay(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Ventura County(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | Detroit City(home) | 2-0 | USL Championship |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Loudoun United(home) | 2-0 | USL Championship |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Birmingham Legion(away) | 1-1 | USL Championship |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Charleston Battery(away) | 2-1 | USL Championship |
| Mar 1, 2025 | One Knoxville(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Sacramento Republic win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Louisville City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2024 | Louisville City 4-3 Sacramento Republic | USL Championship |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Sacramento Republic 5-0 Louisville City | USL Championship |
| Sep 3, 2022 | Louisville City 3-1 Sacramento Republic | USL Championship |
Last archived meeting: Louisville City vs Sacramento Republic on Aug 11, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Sacramento Republic score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Louisville City score 1.6 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento Republic | 1.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Louisville City | 1.6 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sacramento Republic sit 6th in USL Championship (16 points from 11 matches) and Louisville City sit 3rd (21 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Louisville City | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 21 |
| 5 | Louisville City | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 31 |
| 6 | Sacramento Republic | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 16 |
| 6 | Sacramento Republic | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 18 | 31 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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- Apr 5, 2025Oakland Roots0-3Rhode Island
- Apr 5, 2025Loudoun United2-0Hartford Athletic
- Apr 5, 2025Charleston Battery2-1Tampa Bay Rowdies
- Apr 5, 2025Indy Eleven2-2North Carolina
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- Apr 6, 2025Las Vegas Lights1-0Orange County SC
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