Safa vs Tripoli SC: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on November 6, 2026 at 11:15 AM (UTC)Al Safa SC Stadium, Bayrūt (Beirut)
The Footlab AI model makes Safa the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Tripoli SC. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Safa vs Tripoli SC?
Safa starts as the favourite with a 288-point Elo edge (1,546 vs 1,259).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Safa vs Tripoli SC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Safa
Not enough data to predict the Safa lineup.
Tripoli SC
4-3-3- GGerônimo
- FFoad Eid
- AAlaa Ezo
- SSuleiman Abu Zam'a
- GGhazi Hussien
- MMohammad Al Zahed
- TTaha Hussain
- AA. Innocent
- MMohamad Korhani
- AAbd Al Razaq Dakramanji
- AAhmad Qarhani
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:28 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Safa have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Tripoli SC have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Shabab Al Sahel(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Reyady Abaseya(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Al Mabarrah(home) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Jwaaya FC(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Al Ahed(away) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Al Akhaa Al Ahli(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Al Ahed(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 23, 2024 | Shabab Al Ghazieh(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2024 | Shabab Al Sahel(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 9, 2024 | Tadamon Sour(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Safa wins, 2 draws, 2 Tripoli SC wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2023 | Tripoli SC 2-4 Safa | Premier League |
| Feb 19, 2023 | Tripoli SC 1-1 Safa | Premier League |
| Jan 8, 2023 | Safa 1-2 Tripoli SC | Premier League |
| Dec 11, 2022 | Safa 0-0 Tripoli SC | Premier League |
| Apr 19, 2022 | Tripoli SC 1-2 Safa | Premier League |
| Mar 20, 2022 | Safa 0-2 Tripoli SC | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Safa score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Tripoli SC score 0.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Safa | 1.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Tripoli SC | 0.7 | 1.0 | 7 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Safa sit 2nd in Premier League (6 points from 2 matches) and Tripoli SC sit 4th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Safa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Tripoli SC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
A question about Safa vs Tripoli SC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Safa vs Tripoli SC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Safa the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Tripoli SC.
- Where and when is Safa vs Tripoli SC played?
- Safa vs Tripoli SC is played on November 6, 2026 at 11:15 AM (UTC) at Al Safa SC Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.