Şagadam vs Ahal: result 1-3 and analysis
Ýokary LigaRegular Season - 27Kick-off on December 29, 2023 at 08:00 AM (UTC)Türkmenbaşy Stadium, Türkmenbaşy
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What was the result of Şagadam vs Ahal?
Ahal won 1-3 on December 29, 2023.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Şagadam have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Ahal have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2023 | Nebitci(away) | 0-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 20, 2023 | Altyn Asyr(home) | 1-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 7, 2023 | Energetik(away) | 0-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 4, 2023 | Merw(home) | 2-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Aşgabat(away) | 0-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2023 | Altyn Asyr(away) | 1-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 18, 2023 | Merw(away) | 1-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 14, 2023 | Arkadag(away) | 1-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 11, 2023 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(home) | 3-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 8, 2023 | Merw(home) | 4-0 | Ýokary Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Şagadam wins, 1 draw, 3 Ahal wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2023 | Ahal 1-2 Şagadam | Ýokary Liga |
| May 4, 2023 | Şagadam 1-0 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 7, 2022 | Şagadam 2-4 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 4, 2022 | Ahal 3-1 Şagadam | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 30, 2022 | Şagadam 1-1 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 16, 2022 | Ahal 1-0 Şagadam | Ýokary Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Şagadam score 0.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Ahal score 1.7 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Şagadam | 0.6 | 1.4 | 2 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Ahal | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Şagadam sit 4th in Ýokary Liga (22 points from 21 matches) and Ahal sit 3rd (42 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ahal | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 50 | 28 | 42 |
| 4 | Şagadam | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 32 | 22 |
A question about Şagadam vs Ahal?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy