Şagadam vs Ahal: result 1-2 and analysis
Ýokary LigaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on April 3, 2025 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Türkmenbaşy Stadium, Türkmenbaşy
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What was the result of Şagadam vs Ahal?
Ahal won 1-2 on April 3, 2025.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Şagadam have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Ahal have 11, 0 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | Arkadag(away) | 0-4 | Ýokary Liga |
| Mar 14, 2025 | Nebitci(away) | 0-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Mar 10, 2025 | Aşgabat(away) | 3-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Mar 5, 2025 | Merw(home) | 1-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Ahal(home) | 1-4 | Ýokary Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | Altyn Asyr(home) | 0-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Mar 14, 2025 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(home) | 4-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Mar 4, 2025 | Nebitci(home) | 2-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 17, 2024 | Altyn Asyr(away) | 0-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Şagadam(away) | 4-1 | Ýokary Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Şagadam wins, 0 draws, 4 Ahal wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | Şagadam 1-4 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 5, 2024 | Ahal 6-0 Şagadam | Ýokary Liga |
| May 4, 2024 | Şagadam 1-0 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Ahal 1-0 Şagadam | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 29, 2023 | Şagadam 1-3 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Ahal 1-2 Şagadam | Ýokary Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Şagadam score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ahal score 2.1 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Şagadam | 1.1 | 1.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Ahal | 2.1 | 0.8 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Şagadam sit 4th in Ýokary Liga (22 points from 21 matches) and Ahal sit 3rd (42 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ahal | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 50 | 28 | 42 |
| 4 | Şagadam | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 32 | 22 |
A question about Şagadam vs Ahal?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy