Şagadam vs Ahal: result 2-4 and analysis
Ýokary LigaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on December 7, 2022 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Türkmenbaşy Stadium, Türkmenbaşy
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What was the result of Şagadam vs Ahal?
Ahal won 2-4 on December 7, 2022.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Şagadam have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Ahal have 13, 2 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2022 | Altyn Asyr(away) | 2-3 | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 29, 2022 | Nebitci(home) | 4-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 26, 2022 | Aşgabat(away) | 0-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 18, 2022 | Merw(away) | 0-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 13, 2022 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(home) | 2-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2022 | Energetik(away) | 5-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 26, 2022 | Nebitci(away) | 1-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 18, 2022 | Aşgabat(away) | 3-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 13, 2022 | Merw(home) | 2-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 9, 2022 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(away) | 2-0 | Ýokary Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Şagadam win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Ahal win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2022 | Ahal 3-1 Şagadam | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 30, 2022 | Şagadam 1-1 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 16, 2022 | Ahal 1-0 Şagadam | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 10, 2021 | Şagadam 1-2 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 8, 2021 | Ahal 4-0 Şagadam | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 14, 2020 | Şagadam 4-0 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Şagadam score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Ahal score 3.1 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Şagadam | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Ahal | 3.1 | 0.5 | 8 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Şagadam sit 4th in Ýokary Liga (40 points from 28 matches) and Ahal sit 2nd (55 points from 28 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ahal | 28 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 54 | 26 | 55 |
| 4 | Şagadam | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 40 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy