Sagan Tosu vs Fujieda MYFC: prediction and stats
J2 LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)Ekimae Real Estate Stadium, Tosu
The Footlab AI model makes Sagan Tosu the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Fujieda MYFC. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sagan Tosu wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sagan Tosu vs Fujieda MYFC?
On Elo ratings, Sagan Tosu has 1,815 points and Fujieda MYFC 1,787.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sagan Tosu vs Fujieda MYFC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sagan Tosu
3-4-2-1- 9T. Takahashi
- 28M. Yoshida
- 21A. Toyoda
- 16K. Nishizawa
- 24K. Yamauchi
- 7K. Sakamoto
- 6T. Sakurai
- 44K. Abe
- 5S. Nagasawa
- 33S. Ogawa
- 12S. Matsubara
Fujieda MYFC
4-3-3- 17R. Kawamoto
- 11H. Manabe
- 20Uiki Kanemoto
- 41U. Uehata
- 10Y. Kikui
- 66Yuto Nagao
- 16Y. Mori
- 6T. Okamoto
- 3S. Suzuki
- 19Yusei Kondo
- 24S. Yoshida
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 02:32 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sagan Tosu have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Fujieda MYFC have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Blaublitz Akita(away) | 0-1 | J2 League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Tokyo Verdy(home) | 2-1 | J-League Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Montedio Yamagata(away) | 0-2 | J2 League |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Vissel Kobe(away) | 0-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Iwaki(home) | 1-3 | J2 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Shonan Bellmare(home) | 1-1 | J2 League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Cerezo Osaka(home) | 1-2 | J-League Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Oita Trinita(away) | 1-1 | J2 League |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Kyoto Sanga(away) | 0-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Omiya Ardija(home) | 1-1 | J2 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Sagan Tosu win, 1 draw, 0 Fujieda MYFC wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2025 | Fujieda MYFC 0-0 Sagan Tosu | J2 League |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Sagan Tosu 1-0 Fujieda MYFC | J2 League |
Last archived meeting: Fujieda MYFC vs Sagan Tosu on Nov 23, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Sagan Tosu score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Fujieda MYFC score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sagan Tosu | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Fujieda MYFC | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sagan Tosu sit 17th in J2 League (8 points from 9 matches) and Fujieda MYFC sit 7th (13 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Fujieda MYFC | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 13 |
| 17 | Sagan Tosu | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 8 |
A question about Sagan Tosu vs Fujieda MYFC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sagan Tosu vs Fujieda MYFC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sagan Tosu the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Fujieda MYFC.
- Where and when is Sagan Tosu vs Fujieda MYFC played?
- Sagan Tosu vs Fujieda MYFC is played on October 10, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC) at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium, in the J2 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Omiya ArdijavsVanraure Hachinohe
- Oct 10, 2026Tokushima VortisvsImabari
- Oct 10, 2026Yokohama FCvsOita Trinita
- Oct 10, 2026Ventforet KofuvsTochigi City
- Oct 10, 2026Jubilo IwatavsConsadole Sapporo
- Oct 11, 2026Montedio YamagatavsVegalta Sendai
- Oct 11, 2026Kataller ToyamavsTegevajaro Miyazaki
- Oct 11, 2026IwakivsBlaublitz Akita