Sagrada Esperança vs 1º de Agosto: prediction and stats
GirabolaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on May 8, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Quintalão, Dundo
The Footlab model makes 1º de Agosto the favourite at 43%, against 31% for a draw and 26% for Sagrada Esperança. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sagrada Esperança vs 1º de Agosto?
1º de Agosto starts as the favourite with a 160-point Elo edge (1,819 vs 1,659).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sagrada Esperança have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; 1º de Agosto have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bravos do Maquis FC(away) | 0-3 | Girabola |
| May 24, 2026 | 1º de Maio(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 20, 2026 | Guelson FC(away) | 0-1 | Girabola |
| May 17, 2026 | CD Lunda-Sul(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 9, 2026 | Redonda FC(away) | 2-0 | Girabola |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Desportivo Huíla(home) | 1-0 | Girabola |
| May 24, 2026 | Redonda FC(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 20, 2026 | Luanda City(away) | 1-0 | Girabola |
| May 16, 2026 | Kabuscorp(home) | 0-1 | Girabola |
| May 9, 2026 | Interclube(away) | 0-0 | Girabola |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sagrada Esperança win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 1º de Agosto win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | 1º de Agosto 2-1 Sagrada Esperança | Girabola |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Sagrada Esperança 0-0 1º de Agosto | Girabola |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Sagrada Esperança 0-0 1º de Agosto | Girabola |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 1º de Agosto 3-1 Sagrada Esperança | Girabola |
| Jun 1, 2024 | 1º de Agosto 0-0 Sagrada Esperança | Girabola |
| Mar 7, 2024 | Sagrada Esperança 1-0 1º de Agosto | Girabola |
Last archived meeting: 1º de Agosto vs Sagrada Esperança on Apr 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sagrada Esperança score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; 1º de Agosto score 1.2 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sagrada Esperança | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| 1º de Agosto | 1.2 | 0.6 | 7 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sagrada Esperança sit 15th in Girabola (0 points from 1 matches) and 1º de Agosto sit 4th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 1º de Agosto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 15 | Sagrada Esperança | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sagrada Esperança vs 1º de Agosto?
- The Footlab model makes 1º de Agosto the favourite at 43%, against 31% for a draw and 26% for Sagrada Esperança.
- Where and when is Sagrada Esperança vs 1º de Agosto played?
- Sagrada Esperança vs 1º de Agosto is played on May 8, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Quintalão, in the Girabola.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.