Sagrada Esperança vs Sporting de Cabinda: prediction and stats
GirabolaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Quintalão, Dundo
The Footlab model makes Sagrada Esperança the favourite at 58%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Sporting de Cabinda. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sagrada Esperança vs Sporting de Cabinda?
Sagrada Esperança starts as the favourite with a 207-point Elo edge (1,659 vs 1,452).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sagrada Esperança have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Sporting de Cabinda have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bravos do Maquis FC(away) | 0-3 | Girabola |
| May 24, 2026 | 1º de Maio(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 20, 2026 | Guelson FC(away) | 0-1 | Girabola |
| May 17, 2026 | CD Lunda-Sul(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 9, 2026 | Redonda FC(away) | 2-0 | Girabola |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Recreativo do Libolo(home) | 0-3 | Girabola |
| May 25, 2024 | Interclube(home) | 0-1 | Girabola |
| May 18, 2024 | Recreativo do Libolo(away) | 2-4 | Girabola |
| May 11, 2024 | CD Lunda-Sul(home) | 2-1 | Girabola |
| May 8, 2024 | Petro de Luanda(away) | 0-3 | Girabola |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Sagrada Esperança win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Sporting de Cabinda win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2024 | Sporting de Cabinda 2-2 Sagrada Esperança | Girabola |
| Dec 23, 2023 | Sagrada Esperança 5-1 Sporting de Cabinda | Girabola |
| Apr 17, 2023 | Sagrada Esperança 3-0 Sporting de Cabinda | Girabola |
| Nov 28, 2022 | Sporting de Cabinda 0-3 Sagrada Esperança | Girabola |
| Feb 1, 2022 | Sagrada Esperança 6-0 Sporting de Cabinda | Girabola |
| Dec 1, 2021 | Sporting de Cabinda 1-2 Sagrada Esperança | Girabola |
Last archived meeting: Sporting de Cabinda vs Sagrada Esperança on May 4, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Sagrada Esperança score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting de Cabinda score 0.9 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sagrada Esperança | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Sporting de Cabinda | 0.9 | 2.3 | 0 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sagrada Esperança sit 15th in Girabola (0 points from 1 matches) and Sporting de Cabinda sit 16th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Sagrada Esperança | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | Sporting de Cabinda | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sagrada Esperança vs Sporting de Cabinda?
- The Footlab model makes Sagrada Esperança the favourite at 58%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Sporting de Cabinda.
- Where and when is Sagrada Esperança vs Sporting de Cabinda played?
- Sagrada Esperança vs Sporting de Cabinda is played on November 7, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Quintalão, in the Girabola.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.