Saguntino vs Villarreal III: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 6Group 6 - 3Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nou Camp de Morvedre, Sagunt
The Footlab model makes Saguntino the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Villarreal III. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Saguntino vs Villarreal III?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Saguntino (1,860) and Villarreal III (1,876).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Saguntino have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Villarreal III have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Reddis(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | La Nucía(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 17, 2026 | La Nucía(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 9, 2026 | Hércules II(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 2, 2026 | Vall de Uxó(away) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Levante II(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 17, 2026 | Levante II(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 9, 2026 | Torrellano(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 2, 2026 | Levante II(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Atzeneta(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Saguntino win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Villarreal III win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Villarreal III 1-2 Saguntino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Saguntino 3-2 Villarreal III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Villarreal III 2-2 Saguntino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Jan 15, 2025 | Saguntino 3-2 Villarreal III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Jan 23, 2022 | Saguntino 2-0 Villarreal III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Sep 25, 2021 | Villarreal III 1-2 Saguntino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
Last archived meeting: Villarreal III vs Saguntino on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Saguntino score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Villarreal III score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saguntino | 1.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Villarreal III | 1.9 | 1.0 | 7 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Saguntino sit 2nd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 (66 points from 34 matches) and Villarreal III sit 4th (63 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Saguntino | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 50 | 30 | 66 |
| 4 | Villarreal III | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 64 | 36 | 63 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Saguntino vs Villarreal III?
- The Footlab model makes Saguntino the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Villarreal III.
- Where and when is Saguntino vs Villarreal III played?
- Saguntino vs Villarreal III is played on September 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nou Camp de Morvedre, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.