Salgueiro vs Mogi Mirim: result 0-1 and analysis
Serie CQuarter-finalsKick-off on October 19, 2014 at 08:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Cornélio de Barros Muniz, Salgueiro, Pernambuco
Full time
What was the result of Salgueiro vs Mogi Mirim?
Mogi Mirim won 0-1 on October 19, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 81′Thomas Anderson Cavalcanti da SilvaMogi Mirim
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Salgueiro have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Mogi Mirim have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2014 | Treze(away) | 0-3 | Serie C |
| Sep 28, 2014 | CRB(home) | 1-0 | Serie C |
| Sep 20, 2014 | CRAC(away) | 3-1 | Serie C |
| Sep 14, 2014 | ASA(away) | 3-3 | Serie C |
| Sep 7, 2014 | Cuiaba(home) | 0-0 | Serie C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2014 | Juventude(away) | 0-4 | Serie C |
| Sep 29, 2014 | Macaé(home) | 1-0 | Serie C |
| Sep 21, 2014 | Guarani Campinas(away) | 3-3 | Serie C |
| Sep 14, 2014 | Caxias(home) | 1-1 | Serie C |
| Sep 7, 2014 | Tupi(away) | 0-5 | Serie C |
How many goals should we expect?
Salgueiro score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Mogi Mirim score 1.2 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salgueiro | 1.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Mogi Mirim | 1.2 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy