Sammaurese vs Bagnolese BP: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie D - Girone DGroup D - 12Kick-off on November 21, 2021 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Campo Da Calcio Macrelli, San Mauro Pascoli
Full time
What was the result of Sammaurese vs Bagnolese BP?
Sammaurese won 1-0 on November 21, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 72′?Sammaurese
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sammaurese have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Bagnolese BP have 4, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2021 | Prato(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Nov 7, 2021 | Lentigione(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 31, 2021 | ASD Sasso Marconi(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 24, 2021 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 20, 2021 | Seravezza(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2021 | Progresso(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Nov 7, 2021 | Forli(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 31, 2021 | Tritium(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 24, 2021 | Ravenna(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
| Oct 20, 2021 | Prato(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone D |
How many goals should we expect?
Sammaurese score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bagnolese BP score 1.2 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sammaurese | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Bagnolese BP | 1.2 | 1.6 | 2 | 8/13 | 7/13 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy