Šamorín vs MFK Bytča: prediction and stats
2. ligaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Mestský štadión, Šamorín
The Footlab model makes Šamorín the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for MFK Bytča. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Šamorín vs MFK Bytča?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Šamorín (1,696) and MFK Bytča (1,623).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Šamorín have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; MFK Bytča have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Považská Bystrica(away) | 4-1 | 2. liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Rohožník(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom(home) | 0-2 | 2. liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Slovan Bratislava II(away) | 2-1 | 2. liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Humenné(home) | 3-1 | 2. liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zlaté Moravce(home) | 2-1 | 2. liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Rosina(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Pohronie(away) | 1-3 | 2. liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Inter Bratislava(home) | 0-3 | 2. liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Petržalka(away) | 0-4 | 2. liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Šamorín score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; MFK Bytča score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Šamorín | 1.9 | 1.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| MFK Bytča | 1.5 | 1.3 | 7 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Šamorín sit 2nd in 2. liga (12 points from 5 matches) and MFK Bytča sit 15th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Šamorín | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 12 |
| 15 | MFK Bytča | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Šamorín vs MFK Bytča?
- The Footlab model makes Šamorín the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for MFK Bytča.
- Where and when is Šamorín vs MFK Bytča played?
- Šamorín vs MFK Bytča is played on March 27, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Mestský štadión, in the 2. liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.