San Giovanni vs Virtus: prediction and stats
CampionatoMatchday 9Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo di Borgo Maggiore, Borgo Maggiore
The Footlab AI model makes Virtus the favourite at 75%, against 18% for a draw and 7% for San Giovanni. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,760 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Giovanni vs Virtus?
Virtus is a heavy favourite: 1,489 Elo points against 1,084, a 405-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for San Giovanni vs Virtus
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
San Giovanni
Not enough data to predict the San Giovanni lineup.
Virtus
4-3-3- 90S. Scappini
- 11T. Lombardi
- 93G. Piscitella
- 17A. Golinucci
- 10I. Buonocunto
- 21A. Amati
- 15N. Gori
- 34U. De Lucia
- 30Mirco De Santis
- 45E. Ciacci
- 39A. Passaniti
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 07:15 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Giovanni have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Virtus have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | San Marino Academy(away) | 0-0 | Campionato |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Faetano(home) | 2-1 | Campionato |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Cosmos(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Titano |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Pennarossa(away) | 2-2 | Campionato |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tre Fiori(home) | 0-1 | Campionato |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Folgore(away) | 0-2 | Campionato |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Domagnano(away) | 1-0 | Campionato |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Murata(home) | 3-0 | Coppa Titano |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Juvenes / Dogana(away) | 1-0 | Campionato |
| Oct 11, 2026 | San Marino Academy(home) | 5-0 | Campionato |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 San Giovanni wins, 2 draws, 4 Virtus wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | San Giovanni 1-1 Virtus | Campionato |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Virtus 2-0 San Giovanni | Campionato |
| Jan 18, 2025 | San Giovanni 0-2 Virtus | Campionato |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Virtus 1-1 San Giovanni | Campionato |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Virtus 4-1 San Giovanni | Campionato |
| Jan 7, 2024 | San Giovanni 1-2 Virtus | Campionato |
Last archived meeting: San Giovanni vs Virtus on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
San Giovanni score 0.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Virtus score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Giovanni | 0.8 | 1.7 | 4 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Virtus | 1.7 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Giovanni sit 11th in Campionato (7 points from 7 matches) and Virtus sit 2nd (19 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Virtus | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 19 |
| 11 | San Giovanni | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 7 |
A question about San Giovanni vs Virtus?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Giovanni vs Virtus?
- The Footlab AI model makes Virtus the favourite at 75%, against 18% for a draw and 7% for San Giovanni.
- Where and when is San Giovanni vs Virtus played?
- San Giovanni vs Virtus is played on November 21, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo di Borgo Maggiore, in the Campionato.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.