San Juan vs Avance Ezcabarte: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 13Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio San Juan, Pamplona
The Footlab model makes San Juan the favourite at 60%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Avance Ezcabarte. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Juan vs Avance Ezcabarte?
San Juan starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,839 vs 1,736).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Juan have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Avance Ezcabarte have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Avance Ezcabarte(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Pamplona(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 16, 2026 | Pamplona(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 9, 2026 | Ardoi(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 3, 2026 | Beti Kozkor(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | San Juan(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 9, 2026 | Beti Onak(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 3, 2026 | Aoiz(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Ardoi(home) | 3-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Beti Kozkor(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 San Juan win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Avance Ezcabarte win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | San Juan 2-1 Avance Ezcabarte | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Avance Ezcabarte 1-1 San Juan | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 6, 2025 | San Juan 1-0 Avance Ezcabarte | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
Last archived meeting: San Juan vs Avance Ezcabarte on Aug 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
San Juan score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Avance Ezcabarte score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Juan | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Avance Ezcabarte | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Juan sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 (52 points from 34 matches) and Avance Ezcabarte sit 8th (45 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | San Juan | 34 | 12 | 16 | 6 | 43 | 28 | 52 |
| 8 | Avance Ezcabarte | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 47 | 49 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Juan vs Avance Ezcabarte?
- The Footlab model makes San Juan the favourite at 60%, against 25% for a draw and 15% for Avance Ezcabarte.
- Where and when is San Juan vs Avance Ezcabarte played?
- San Juan vs Avance Ezcabarte is played on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio San Juan, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.