San Marcos de Arica vs Deportes Santa Cruz: result 2-1 and analysis
Primera BRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 8, 2020 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio CAP, Talcahuano
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What was the result of San Marcos de Arica vs Deportes Santa Cruz?
San Marcos de Arica won 2-1 on October 8, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 8′B. MonroySan Marcos de Arica
- 29′Mauricio Alejandro Godoy LlancafilSan Marcos de Arica
- 50′E. VilchesDeportes Santa Cruz (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Marcos de Arica have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Deportes Santa Cruz have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2020 | Union San Felipe(away) | 0-1 | Primera B |
| Sep 30, 2020 | Deportes Valdivia(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Sep 27, 2020 | Rangers de Talca(away) | 2-1 | Primera B |
| Sep 23, 2020 | Deportes Copiapo(away) | 1-3 | Primera B |
| Sep 16, 2020 | Santiago Morning(away) | 1-0 | Primera B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2020 | Magallanes(home) | 0-3 | Primera B |
| Oct 1, 2020 | Barnechea(away) | 3-2 | Primera B |
| Sep 28, 2020 | Santiago Morning(home) | 2-1 | Primera B |
| Sep 23, 2020 | San Luis(away) | 0-0 | Primera B |
| Sep 20, 2020 | Deportes Temuco(home) | 0-2 | Primera B |
How many goals should we expect?
San Marcos de Arica score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Deportes Santa Cruz score 0.9 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Marcos de Arica | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Deportes Santa Cruz | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Marcos de Arica sit 8th in Primera B (30 points from 21 matches) and Deportes Santa Cruz sit 15th (16 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | San Marcos de Arica | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 30 |
| 15 | Deportes Santa Cruz | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 37 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy