Sanluqueño vs Marbella: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 21Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Palmar, Sanlúcar de Barrameda
The Footlab AI model makes Sanluqueño the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Marbella. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sanluqueño wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,761 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sanluqueño vs Marbella?
On Elo ratings, Sanluqueño has 1,781 points and Marbella 1,799.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sanluqueño vs Marbella
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sanluqueño
4-3-3- 15Marcos Denia
- 9Ismael Álvarez
- 5S. Niza
- 26J. Andujar
- 21D. Satoca
- 6T. Mulenga
- 2Raúl Sola
- 14Pavón
- 3Julio Cabrera
- 12N. Ukwuije
- 13R. Dominguez
Marbella
4-3-3- 20J. Cambra
- 17Alexiel
- 19E. Ohemeng
- 8Eugeni Valderrama
- 16A. Ruiz
- 10A. Gil
- 22J. Rodriguez
- 23Alberto Escassi
- 2J. Alvarez
- 5A. Carbonell
- 1Manu García
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 08:29 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sanluqueño have 1 win, 8 draws and 6 defeats; Marbella have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Badajoz(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Recreativo Huelva(home) | 3-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Mijas Las Lagunas(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Don Benito(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sevilla Atletico(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Estepona(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Badajoz(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Betis II(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Puente Genil(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atlético Central(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sanluqueño wins, 3 draws, 1 Marbella win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Marbella 2-2 Sanluqueño | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Sanluqueño 3-2 Marbella | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Marbella 1-0 Sanluqueño | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Sanluqueño 1-1 Marbella | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Marbella 0-0 Sanluqueño | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Feb 14, 2021 | Marbella 0-1 Sanluqueño | Primera División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Marbella vs Sanluqueño on Sep 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sanluqueño score 0.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Marbella score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sanluqueño | 0.8 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Marbella | 1.2 | 1.8 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sanluqueño sit 12th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (7 points from 7 matches) and Marbella sit 14th (6 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Sanluqueño | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 7 |
| 14 | Marbella | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 6 |
A question about Sanluqueño vs Marbella?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sanluqueño vs Marbella?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sanluqueño the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Marbella.
- Where and when is Sanluqueño vs Marbella played?
- Sanluqueño vs Marbella is played on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Palmar, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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