Where and when is Sanluqueño vs Marbella played?

Sanluqueño vs Marbella is played on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Palmar, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Sanluqueño vs Marbella: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 21Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Palmar, Sanlúcar de Barrameda

Sanluqueño

Marbella

The Footlab model makes Sanluqueño the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 36% for Marbella. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sanluqueño vs Marbella?

A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Sanluqueño (1,752) and Marbella (1,799).

Sanluqueño win36 %

Draw29 %

Marbella win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sanluqueño have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Marbella have 5, 1 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sanluqueño
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 23, 2026	Villarreal II(home)	1-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 16, 2026	Teruel(away)	0-0	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 9, 2026	Algeciras(home)	0-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 3, 2026	Ibiza(away)	0-4	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 25, 2026	Alcorcon(home)	0-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 2

Marbella
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 22, 2026	Teruel(home)	3-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 16, 2026	Alcorcon(away)	2-6	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 10, 2026	Juventud Torremolinos(home)	0-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 3, 2026	Eldense(away)	1-3	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 26, 2026	Sabadell(home)	0-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sanluqueño win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Marbella win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 28, 2026	Sanluqueño 3-2 Marbella	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Dec 6, 2025	Marbella 1-0 Sanluqueño	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Mar 1, 2025	Sanluqueño 1-1 Marbella	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Nov 10, 2024	Marbella 0-0 Sanluqueño	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Feb 14, 2021	Marbella 0-1 Sanluqueño	Primera División RFEF - Group 4
Nov 22, 2020	Sanluqueño 2-1 Marbella	Primera División RFEF - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Sanluqueño vs Marbella on Feb 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sanluqueño score 0.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Marbella score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Sanluqueño	0.5	1.5	4	5/15	5/15
Marbella	1.5	1.8	3	7/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sanluqueño vs Marbella?: The Footlab model makes Sanluqueño the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 36% for Marbella.
Where and when is Sanluqueño vs Marbella played?: Sanluqueño vs Marbella is played on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Palmar, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.