Santa Cruz RJ vs Paraty: result 2-1 and analysis
Carioca CFinalKick-off on August 31, 2025 at 05:45 PM (UTC)Estádio Mourão Filho, Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro
Full time
What was the result of Santa Cruz RJ vs Paraty?
Santa Cruz RJ won 2-1 on August 31, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 6′?Paraty
- 49′?Santa Cruz RJ
- 61′?Santa Cruz RJ
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santa Cruz RJ have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Paraty have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2025 | Riostrense(home) | 6-2 | Carioca C |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Riostrense(away) | 3-1 | Carioca C |
| Aug 10, 2025 | EC Vera Cruz(away) | 1-1 | Carioca C |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Angra dos Reis(away) | 2-3 | Carioca C |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Riostrense(home) | 4-3 | Carioca C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2025 | Uniao Central(home) | 0-0 | Carioca C |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Uniao Central(away) | 2-2 | Carioca C |
| Aug 4, 2025 | Duquecaxiense(away) | 1-0 | Carioca C |
| Jul 27, 2025 | EC Resende(home) | 4-1 | Carioca C |
| Jul 23, 2025 | Uniao Central(away) | 4-0 | Carioca C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Santa Cruz RJ win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Paraty win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 3, 2025 | Paraty 3-3 Santa Cruz RJ | Carioca C |
| Jun 9, 2024 | Santa Cruz RJ 1-0 Paraty | Carioca C |
Last archived meeting: Paraty vs Santa Cruz RJ on Jul 3, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Santa Cruz RJ score 3.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Paraty score 2.3 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Cruz RJ | 3.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Paraty | 2.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santa Cruz RJ sit 2nd in Carioca C (27 points from 12 matches) and Paraty sit 1st (28 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paraty | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 11 | 28 |
| 2 | Santa Cruz RJ | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 39 | 14 | 27 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy