Santa Cruz vs Guarani Campinas: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 2Kick-off on May 20, 2017 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Jóse do Rego Maciel, Recife, Pernambuco
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What was the result of Santa Cruz vs Guarani Campinas?
Santa Cruz won 2-1 on May 20, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 5′Halef PitbullSanta Cruz
- 79′EliandroGuarani Campinas
- 84′Ricardo BuenoSanta Cruz
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santa Cruz have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Guarani Campinas have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2017 | Criciuma(away) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| May 11, 2017 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 0-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Dec 11, 2016 | Sao Paulo(away) | 0-5 | Serie A |
| Nov 27, 2016 | Gremio(home) | 5-1 | Serie A |
| Nov 20, 2016 | Atletico-MG(home) | 3-3 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2017 | Brasil DE Pelotas(home) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Nov 5, 2016 | BOA(away) | 0-3 | Serie C |
| Oct 29, 2016 | BOA(home) | 1-1 | Serie C |
| Oct 23, 2016 | ABC(home) | 6-0 | Serie C |
| Oct 16, 2016 | ABC(away) | 0-4 | Serie C |
How many goals should we expect?
Santa Cruz score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Guarani Campinas score 1.7 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Cruz | 1.3 | 2.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Guarani Campinas | 1.7 | 1.2 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy