Santa Cruz vs Mogi Mirim: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 18Kick-off on August 11, 2015 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Jóse do Rego Maciel, Recife, Pernambuco
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What was the result of Santa Cruz vs Mogi Mirim?
Santa Cruz won 2-1 on August 11, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 14′José Thomaz Geovane de OliveiraMogi Mirim
- 20′GrafiteSanta Cruz
- 31′Anderson Angus AquinoSanta Cruz (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santa Cruz have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Mogi Mirim have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2015 | Botafogo(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 1, 2015 | Oeste(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 28, 2015 | Bahia(home) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 25, 2015 | Criciuma(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Jul 18, 2015 | Atletico Goianiense(home) | 3-0 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2015 | ABC(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 1, 2015 | Paysandu(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 28, 2015 | RB Bragantino(home) | 2-3 | Serie B |
| Jul 26, 2015 | Ceara(away) | 3-2 | Serie B |
| Jul 14, 2015 | Macaé(home) | 3-1 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Santa Cruz score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Mogi Mirim score 1.2 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Cruz | 1.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Mogi Mirim | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy