Santa Cruz vs Parana: result 4-1 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 2Kick-off on May 15, 2015 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Jóse do Rego Maciel, Recife, Pernambuco
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What was the result of Santa Cruz vs Parana?
Santa Cruz won 4-1 on May 15, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 7′RodrigoSanta Cruz (o.g.)
- 40′RodrigoParana
- 55′NathanSanta Cruz
- 73′Anderson Angus AquinoSanta Cruz
- 83′Anderson Angus AquinoSanta Cruz
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santa Cruz have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Parana have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2015 | Macaé(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 28, 2012 | Águia de Marabá(away) | 0-1 | Serie C |
| Oct 20, 2012 | Luverdense(home) | 2-1 | Serie C |
| Oct 13, 2012 | Fortaleza EC(home) | 1-2 | Serie C |
| Oct 6, 2012 | Icasa(away) | 1-3 | Serie C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2015 | Ceara(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Nov 29, 2014 | America-RN(home) | 4-1 | Serie B |
| Nov 21, 2014 | RB Bragantino(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Nov 18, 2014 | Icasa(away) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Nov 11, 2014 | Atletico Goianiense(home) | 2-0 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Santa Cruz score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Parana score 1.3 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Cruz | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Parana | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy