Santa Cruz vs Parana: result 1-1 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 3Kick-off on May 3, 2014 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estádio Jóse do Rego Maciel, Recife, Pernambuco
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What was the result of Santa Cruz vs Parana?
Santa Cruz and Parana drew 1-1 on May 3, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 24′Luciano Pazzini PradoSanta Cruz
- 28′Marcos SerratoParana
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santa Cruz have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Parana have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2014 | Portuguesa(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Apr 19, 2014 | ABC(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Dec 1, 2013 | Sampaio Correa(home) | 2-1 | Serie C |
| Nov 24, 2013 | Sampaio Correa(away) | 0-0 | Serie C |
| Nov 17, 2013 | Luverdense(home) | 2-1 | Serie C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2014 | Joinville(home) | 2-3 | Serie B |
| Apr 18, 2014 | Sampaio Correa(away) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Nov 30, 2013 | Icasa(home) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Nov 23, 2013 | Guaratinguetá(away) | 4-3 | Serie B |
| Nov 16, 2013 | Sport Recife(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Santa Cruz score 1.4 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Parana score 1.1 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Cruz | 1.4 | 0.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Parana | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy