Santa Lucía vs Achuapa: result 3-1 and analysis
Primera DivisionClausura - Quarter-finalsKick-off on May 1, 2019 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Luxol Sports Ground, Pembroke
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What was the result of Santa Lucía vs Achuapa?
Santa Lucía won 3-1 on May 1, 2019.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santa Lucía have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Achuapa have 6, 8 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2019 | Sololá(away) | 2-1 | Primera Division |
| Apr 28, 2019 | Lija Athletic(home) | 6-2 | Challenge League |
| Apr 20, 2019 | Marsa(away) | 6-0 | Challenge League |
| Apr 17, 2019 | Chimaltenango(home) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| Apr 14, 2019 | San Pedro(away) | 0-2 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2019 | Mictlán(away) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Apr 17, 2019 | Comunicaciones II(home) | 2-1 | Primera Division |
| Apr 14, 2019 | Deportivo Jocotán(away) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| Apr 7, 2019 | Carchá(home) | 3-0 | Primera Division |
| Mar 30, 2019 | Aurora(away) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Santa Lucía score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Achuapa score 1.3 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Lucía | 2.0 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Achuapa | 1.3 | 0.7 | 5 | 9/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy