Santa Lucía vs Mgarr United: result 3-3 and analysis
FA TrophyRound of 16Kick-off on February 7, 2024 at 07:15 PM (UTC)MFA Centenary Stadium, Ta'Qali
Full time
What was the result of Santa Lucía vs Mgarr United?
Santa Lucía and Mgarr United drew 3-3 on February 7, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 38′C. EbisindorMgarr United
- 55′Lucas Sena SilvaSanta Lucía
- 76′J. ZammitMgarr United
- 90′Carlos GabrielSanta Lucía
- 96′A. MrđaSanta Lucía
- 100′J. ZammitMgarr United
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santa Lucía have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Mgarr United have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2024 | Hibernians(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Floriana(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Jan 21, 2024 | Birkirkara(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jan 11, 2024 | Marsa(home) | 2-0 | FA Trophy |
| Jan 6, 2024 | Gzira United(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2024 | Msida St. Joseph(away) | 3-1 | FA Trophy |
| Jan 15, 2023 | San Gwann(away) | 1-3 | FA Trophy |
| Apr 9, 2022 | Luqa St. Andrew's(home) | 1-0 | Challenge League |
| Apr 3, 2022 | St. Andrews(away) | 0-2 | Challenge League |
| Mar 13, 2022 | Zebbug Rangers(home) | 0-4 | Challenge League |
How many goals should we expect?
Santa Lucía score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Mgarr United score 0.7 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Lucía | 0.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Mgarr United | 0.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy