Santa Lucía vs Mgarr United: result 1-1 and analysis
Challenge LeagueChampionship Round - 3Kick-off on March 2, 2025 at 05:30 PM (UTC)MFA Centenary Stadium, Ta'Qali
Full time
What was the result of Santa Lucía vs Mgarr United?
Santa Lucía and Mgarr United drew 1-1 on March 2, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 49′?Mgarr United
- 68′?Santa Lucía
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santa Lucía have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Mgarr United have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | Zebbug Rangers(away) | 2-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Tarxien Rainbows(away) | 0-0 | Challenge League |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Zurrieq(home) | 3-6 | Challenge League |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Senglea Athletic(away) | 3-1 | Challenge League |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Mgarr United(home) | 5-3 | Challenge League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | Mtarfa(home) | 1-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Pietà Hotspurs(home) | 3-2 | Challenge League |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Marsa(home) | 1-1 | Challenge League |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Zurrieq(away) | 1-1 | Challenge League |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Santa Lucía(away) | 3-5 | Challenge League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Santa Lucía win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Mgarr United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025 | Santa Lucía 5-3 Mgarr United | Challenge League |
| Feb 7, 2024 | Santa Lucía 3-3 Mgarr United | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Santa Lucía vs Mgarr United on Feb 2, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Santa Lucía score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Mgarr United score 1.7 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Lucía | 1.9 | 1.6 | 6 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Mgarr United | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santa Lucía sit 3rd in Challenge League (30 points from 22 matches) and Mgarr United sit 1st (33 points from 22 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mgarr United | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 41 | 33 | 33 |
| 3 | Santa Lucía | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 40 | 31 | 30 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy