Santa Lucía vs Nueva Concepción: result 1-0 and analysis
Primera DivisionApertura - 7Kick-off on September 16, 2018 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Luxol Sports Ground, Pembroke
Full time
What was the result of Santa Lucía vs Nueva Concepción?
Santa Lucía won 1-0 on September 16, 2018.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, Santa Lucía have 4 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Nueva Concepción have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2018 | Qrendi(home) | 3-0 | Challenge League |
| Sep 9, 2018 | Sololá(away) | 0-1 | Primera Division |
| Sep 2, 2018 | Rosario(home) | 2-0 | Primera Division |
| Aug 26, 2018 | San Pedro(away) | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 19, 2018 | Chimaltenango(home) | 1-0 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2018 | Deportivo Reu(home) | 0-0 | Primera Division |
| Sep 1, 2018 | Marquense(away) | 1-2 | Primera Division |
| Aug 26, 2018 | Quiché(home) | 3-1 | Primera Division |
| Aug 19, 2018 | Suchitepéquez(away) | 1-3 | Primera Division |
| Aug 12, 2018 | Sololá(away) | 1-3 | Primera Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Santa Lucía score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 7; Nueva Concepción score 1.6 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Lucía | 1.3 | 0.7 | 3 | 2/7 | 2/7 |
| Nueva Concepción | 1.6 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Nueva Concepción | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 15 | 32 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy