Santa Lucía vs Zurrieq: prediction and stats
Challenge LeagueRegular Season - 3Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Luxol Sports Ground, Pembroke
The Footlab AI model makes Santa Lucía the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Zurrieq. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Santa Lucía vs Zurrieq?
On Elo ratings, Santa Lucía has 1,264 points and Zurrieq 1,233.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Santa Lucía vs Zurrieq
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Santa Lucía
4-3-3- AA. Mrđa
- AA. Piazza
- SS. Moracci
- SS. Pisani
- DD. Letherby
- TT. Nagamatsu
- JJ. Pisani
- SS. Xerri
- MM. Ellul
- CCarlos Gabriel
- CCélio
Zurrieq
4-3-3- 9L. Londe
- 21Brendan Schneider
- 17J. Monney
- 96Shawn Darmanin
- 5Chibueze Glamour Eziefula
- 15J. W. Harding
- 16Sheldon MacKay
- 8G. Aquilina
- 10S. Grech
- 26Steven Bezzina
- 94Jurgen Borg
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 02:33 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santa Lucía have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Zurrieq have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | St. Andrews(away) | 1-1 | Challenge League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Vittoriosa Stars(home) | 0-0 | Challenge League |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Mtarfa(away) | 5-1 | Challenge League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Zurrieq(home) | 3-0 | Challenge League |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Mgarr United(away) | 1-1 | Challenge League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Victoria Hotspurs(home) | 1-2 | Challenge League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Sirens(away) | 0-1 | Challenge League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Mgarr United(home) | 4-2 | Challenge League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Santa Lucía(away) | 0-3 | Challenge League |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Marsa(home) | 2-1 | Challenge League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Santa Lucía wins, 0 draws, 3 Zurrieq wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Santa Lucía 3-0 Zurrieq | Challenge League |
| Dec 9, 2025 | Zurrieq 4-0 Santa Lucía | Challenge League |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Zurrieq 2-0 Santa Lucía | Challenge Cup |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Santa Lucía 3-6 Zurrieq | Challenge League |
| Jan 4, 2025 | Santa Lucía 2-0 Zurrieq | Challenge League |
Last archived meeting: Santa Lucía vs Zurrieq on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Santa Lucía score 1.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Zurrieq score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Lucía | 1.4 | 1.0 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Zurrieq | 1.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santa Lucía sit 11th in Challenge League (2 points from 2 matches) and Zurrieq sit 14th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Santa Lucía | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 14 | Zurrieq | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
A question about Santa Lucía vs Zurrieq?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Santa Lucía vs Zurrieq?
- The Footlab AI model makes Santa Lucía the favourite at 67%, against 20% for a draw and 13% for Zurrieq.
- Where and when is Santa Lucía vs Zurrieq played?
- Santa Lucía vs Zurrieq is played on October 11, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Luxol Sports Ground, in the Challenge League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.