Santanyí vs Binissalem: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 11Group 11 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Santanyí, Santanyí (Mallorca
The Footlab AI model makes Santanyí the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Binissalem. The most likely score is 1-1. If Santanyí wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Santanyí vs Binissalem?
On Elo ratings, Santanyí has 1,788 points and Binissalem 1,740.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Santanyí vs Binissalem
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Santanyí
Not enough data to predict the Santanyí lineup.
Binissalem
Not enough data to predict the Binissalem lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 05:29 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santanyí have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Binissalem have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Llosetense(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Porreres(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Mercadal(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Alcúdia(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Constància(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Andratx(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sineu(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Migjorn(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Platges Calvià(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cardassar(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Santanyí win, 2 draws, 3 Binissalem wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Santanyí 0-1 Binissalem | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Binissalem 1-0 Santanyí | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 11, 2025 | Santanyí 2-0 Binissalem | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Binissalem 1-1 Santanyí | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Santanyí 1-1 Binissalem | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Binissalem 1-0 Santanyí | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
Last archived meeting: Santanyí vs Binissalem on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Santanyí score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Binissalem score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santanyí | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Binissalem | 1.2 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santanyí sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 (12 points from 6 matches) and Binissalem sit 12th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Santanyí | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 12 |
| 12 | Binissalem | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 6 |
A question about Santanyí vs Binissalem?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Santanyí vs Binissalem?
- The Footlab AI model makes Santanyí the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Binissalem.
- Where and when is Santanyí vs Binissalem played?
- Santanyí vs Binissalem is played on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Santanyí, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.