São Bernardo vs Tombense: result 4-2 and analysis
Serie CRegular Season - 2Kick-off on April 27, 2024 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Primeiro de Maio, São Bernardo do Campo, São Paulo
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What was the result of São Bernardo vs Tombense?
São Bernardo won 4-2 on April 27, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 3′Igor BahiaTombense
- 56′Vitor RicardoSão Bernardo
- 58′João DiogoSão Bernardo
- 72′KaykeSão Bernardo (pen.)
- 85′Igor BahiaTombense
- 90′KaykeSão Bernardo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, São Bernardo have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Tombense have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2024 | Nautico Recife(away) | 1-1 | Serie C |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Corinthians(home) | 0-2 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Mirassol(away) | 2-0 | Paulista - A1 |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Água Santa(home) | 2-0 | Paulista - A1 |
| Feb 28, 2024 | Olaria(away) | 1-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2024 | Sao Jose(home) | 1-0 | Serie C |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Cruzeiro(away) | 1-3 | Mineiro - 1 |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Cruzeiro(home) | 0-0 | Mineiro - 1 |
| Mar 2, 2024 | America Mineiro(home) | 0-1 | Mineiro - 1 |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Villa Nova(away) | 3-0 | Mineiro - 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
São Bernardo score 1.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Tombense score 1.1 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Bernardo | 1.1 | 0.8 | 8 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
| Tombense | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
São Bernardo sit 5th in Serie C (30 points from 19 matches) and Tombense sit 20th (14 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | São Bernardo | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 30 |
| 20 | Tombense | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 23 | 14 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy