São Caetano vs Comercial: result 1-2 and analysis
Paulista - A21st Phase - 11Kick-off on February 18, 2023 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Anacleto Campanella, São Caetano do Sul, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of São Caetano vs Comercial?
Comercial won 1-2 on February 18, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 31′FranciSão Caetano
- 45′Wendel AlexComercial
- 80′Wendel AlexComercial
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, São Caetano have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Comercial have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2023 | Noroeste(away) | 1-2 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 11, 2023 | EC Lemense(away) | 0-1 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 8, 2023 | Velo Clube(home) | 2-0 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Monte Azul(home) | 2-2 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 1, 2023 | Juventus(away) | 1-0 | Paulista - A2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2023 | Monte Azul(away) | 1-1 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Noroeste(home) | 0-2 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 8, 2023 | Juventus(away) | 2-1 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Taubaté(home) | 0-1 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 1, 2023 | EC Lemense(home) | 2-0 | Paulista - A2 |
How many goals should we expect?
São Caetano score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Comercial score 0.7 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Caetano | 1.0 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Comercial | 0.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy