São Caetano vs Comercial: result 1-2 and analysis
Paulista - A21st Phase - 11Kick-off on February 18, 2023 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Anacleto Campanella, São Caetano do Sul, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of São Caetano vs Comercial?
Comercial won 1-2 on February 18, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 31′FranciSão Caetano
- 45′Wendel AlexComercial
- 80′Wendel AlexComercial
Official lineup for São Caetano vs Comercial
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
São Caetano
- FFranci
- AAnderson Magrão
- DDiego Barboza
- BBidía
- LLucas Silva
- GGuilherme Tavares
- RRégis
- PPaulo Henrique
- JJhonata Aguiar
- PPablo
- JJoão Lucas
Comercial
- LLuketa
- RRomário
- WWendel Alex
- VVictor Bolt
- GGuilherme
- LLuis Roberto
- RRenan
- BBrayan
- GGabriel Hilario
- MMichael
- JJeferson Souza
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, São Caetano have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Comercial have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2023 | Noroeste(away) | 1-2 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 11, 2023 | EC Lemense(away) | 0-1 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 8, 2023 | Velo Clube(home) | 2-0 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Monte Azul(home) | 2-2 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 1, 2023 | Juventus(away) | 1-0 | Paulista - A2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2023 | Monte Azul(away) | 1-1 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Noroeste(home) | 0-2 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 8, 2023 | Juventus(away) | 2-1 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Taubaté(home) | 0-1 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 1, 2023 | EC Lemense(home) | 2-0 | Paulista - A2 |
How many goals should we expect?
São Caetano score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Comercial score 0.7 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Caetano | 1.0 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Comercial | 0.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about São Caetano vs Comercial?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy