São Mateus vs Real Noroeste: result 1-3 and analysis
Capixaba1st Round - 9Kick-off on March 14, 2020 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Manoel Moreira Sobrinho, São Mateus, Espírito Santo
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What was the result of São Mateus vs Real Noroeste?
Real Noroeste won 1-3 on March 14, 2020.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, São Mateus have 3 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Real Noroeste have 4, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2020 | Estrela do Norte(away) | 1-4 | Capixaba |
| Feb 29, 2020 | Desportiva ES(home) | 0-1 | Capixaba |
| Feb 20, 2020 | Serra Talhada(away) | 1-1 | Capixaba |
| Feb 16, 2020 | Rio Branco-VN(away) | 1-1 | Capixaba |
| Feb 12, 2020 | Itapemirim(home) | 1-0 | Capixaba |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2020 | Itapemirim(home) | 3-1 | Capixaba |
| Feb 29, 2020 | Linhares(away) | 3-2 | Capixaba |
| Feb 26, 2020 | Vitória ES(away) | 1-4 | Capixaba |
| Feb 20, 2020 | Rio Branco ES(home) | 0-1 | Capixaba |
| Feb 12, 2020 | Rio Branco-VN(home) | 1-1 | Capixaba |
How many goals should we expect?
São Mateus score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 8; Real Noroeste score 1.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Mateus | 0.8 | 1.1 | 3 | 3/8 | 1/8 |
| Real Noroeste | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2 | 5/8 | 4/8 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Real Noroeste | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 11 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy