Sarasota Paradise vs Westchester SC: prediction and stats
USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on October 24, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Cleland Stadium at Ihrig Feild at Sarasota High, Sarasota, Florida
The Footlab model makes Sarasota Paradise the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Westchester SC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sarasota Paradise vs Westchester SC?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Sarasota Paradise (1,651) and Westchester SC (1,601).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sarasota Paradise have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Westchester SC have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Union Omaha(away) | 1-1 | USL League One |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Chattanooga Red Wolves(home) | 3-2 | USL League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Charlotte Independence(away) | 1-3 | USL League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | One Knoxville(away) | 1-2 | USL League One |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Portland Hearts of Pine(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Corpus Christi(away) | 2-2 | USL League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Naples(home) | 3-2 | USL League One |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Forward Madison(away) | 0-2 | USL League One |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Alta(away) | 0-0 | USL League One |
| Jul 22, 2026 | NY Cosmos(home) | 3-0 | USL League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Sarasota Paradise win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Westchester SC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Westchester SC 2-0 Sarasota Paradise | USL League One |
Last archived meeting: Westchester SC vs Sarasota Paradise on Apr 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sarasota Paradise score 1.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Westchester SC score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarasota Paradise | 1.2 | 1.6 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Westchester SC | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sarasota Paradise sit 14th in USL League One (22 points from 22 matches) and Westchester SC sit 12th (23 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Westchester SC | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 23 |
| 14 | Sarasota Paradise | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 36 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sarasota Paradise vs Westchester SC?
- The Footlab model makes Sarasota Paradise the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Westchester SC.
- Where and when is Sarasota Paradise vs Westchester SC played?
- Sarasota Paradise vs Westchester SC is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Cleland Stadium at Ihrig Feild at Sarasota High, in the USL League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 8, 2026Westchester SC2-3One Knoxville
- Mar 8, 2026Naples2-0Fort Wayne
- Mar 8, 2026Sarasota Paradise0-1Boise
- Mar 8, 2026Alta1-1Richmond Kickers
- Mar 8, 2026TormentavsSpokane Velocity
- Mar 14, 2026NY Cosmos1-3Portland Hearts of Pine
- Mar 14, 2026TormentavsAlta
- Mar 14, 2026Greenville Triumph1-2Chattanooga Red Wolves