Sarıyer vs Mardin 1969: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 36Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Maltepe Hasan Polat Stadı, İstanbul
The Footlab model makes Sarıyer the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Mardin 1969. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sarıyer vs Mardin 1969?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Sarıyer (1,837) and Mardin 1969 (1,836).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sarıyer have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Mardin 1969 have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Batman Petrolspor(home) | 1-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Esenler Erokspor(away) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Muğlaspor(home) | 2-0 | 1. Lig |
| May 2, 2026 | Bodrum FK(away) | 1-0 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Esenler Erokspor(home) | 1-0 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Boluspor(away) | 3-0 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Antalyaspor(home) | 2-0 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ümraniyespor(away) | 0-0 | 1. Lig |
| May 9, 2026 | Muş Sport Klübü(home) | 2-1 | 2. Lig |
| May 4, 2026 | Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor(home) | 0-0 | 2. Lig |
How many goals should we expect?
Sarıyer score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Mardin 1969 score 1.5 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarıyer | 1.5 | 0.8 | 9 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Mardin 1969 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 9 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sarıyer sit 9th in 1. Lig (4 points from 3 matches) and Mardin 1969 sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mardin 1969 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Sarıyer | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sarıyer vs Mardin 1969?
- The Footlab model makes Sarıyer the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Mardin 1969.
- Where and when is Sarıyer vs Mardin 1969 played?
- Sarıyer vs Mardin 1969 is played on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Maltepe Hasan Polat Stadı, in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.