Sarnese vs Certosa V. Campagnano: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone GGroup G - 30Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Felice Squitieri, Sarno
The Footlab AI model makes Sarnese the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Certosa V. Campagnano. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sarnese wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 4,774 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sarnese vs Certosa V. Campagnano?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Sarnese (1,811) and Certosa V. Campagnano (1,763).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sarnese vs Certosa V. Campagnano
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sarnese
Not enough data to predict the Sarnese lineup.
Certosa V. Campagnano
Not enough data to predict the Certosa V. Campagnano lineup.
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 02:04 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sarnese have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Certosa V. Campagnano have 6, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Sarrabus Ogliastra(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Aranova(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Città di Anagni(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atletico Lodigiani(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Paganese(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Budoni(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Turris(away) | 0-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Latte Dolce(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Monastir(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Albalonga(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
How many goals should we expect?
Sarnese score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Certosa V. Campagnano score 1.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarnese | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Certosa V. Campagnano | 1.6 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/12 | 6/12 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sarnese sit 1st in Serie D - Girone G (23 points from 10 matches) and Certosa V. Campagnano sit 3rd (17 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sarnese | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Certosa V. Campagnano | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 17 |
A question about Sarnese vs Certosa V. Campagnano?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sarnese vs Certosa V. Campagnano?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sarnese the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Certosa V. Campagnano.
- Where and when is Sarnese vs Certosa V. Campagnano played?
- Sarnese vs Certosa V. Campagnano is played on April 4, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Felice Squitieri, in the Serie D - Girone G.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.