Sarnese vs Heraclea: result 0-1 and analysis
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 11Kick-off on November 9, 2025 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Felice Squitieri, Sarno
Full time
What was the result of Sarnese vs Heraclea?
Heraclea won 0-1 on November 9, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 28′633922Heraclea
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sarnese have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Heraclea have 7, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2025 | Gravina(away) | 1-5 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Città di Fasano(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Paganese(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Real Normanna(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 8, 2025 | Martina Franca(away) | 1-3 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2025 | Fidelis Andria(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Virtus Francavilla(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Nardò(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Real Acerrana(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Nola 1925(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
How many goals should we expect?
Sarnese score 1.2 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Heraclea score 1.2 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarnese | 1.2 | 2.0 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Heraclea | 1.2 | 0.7 | 6 | 5/12 | 3/12 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sarnese sit 13th in Serie D - Girone H (41 points from 34 matches) and Heraclea sit 15th (38 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Sarnese | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 51 | 49 | 41 |
| 15 | Heraclea | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 31 | 39 | 38 |
A question about Sarnese vs Heraclea?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy