Sarriana vs Portonovo SD: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal De Ribela, Sarria
The Footlab model makes Sarriana the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Portonovo SD. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sarriana vs Portonovo SD?
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sarriana have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Portonovo SD have 0, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Racing Santander II(home) | 3-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Atlético Astorga(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Marino de Luanco(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Bergantiños(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Sámano(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sarriana vs Portonovo SD?
- The Footlab model makes Sarriana the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Portonovo SD.
- Where and when is Sarriana vs Portonovo SD played?
- Sarriana vs Portonovo SD is played on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal De Ribela, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.