Schott Mainz vs Ahrweiler BC: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / SaarRheinland-Pfalz/Saar - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Mainz Golden Eagles Stadium, Mainz-Mombach
The Footlab AI model makes Schott Mainz the favourite at 75%, against 14% for a draw and 11% for Ahrweiler BC. The most likely score is 3-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 6,080 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Schott Mainz vs Ahrweiler BC?
Schott Mainz is a heavy favourite: 2,010 Elo points against 1,709, a 301-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Schott Mainz vs Ahrweiler BC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Schott Mainz
Not enough data to predict the Schott Mainz lineup.
Ahrweiler BC
Not enough data to predict the Ahrweiler BC lineup.
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 02:45 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Schott Mainz have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Ahrweiler BC have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Diefflen(home) | 10-0 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Mechtersheim(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Wormatia Worms(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Hertha Wiesbach(away) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Oct 10, 2026 | TuS Koblenz(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Eisbachtal(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Auersmacher(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Jul 1, 2023 | FV Engers 07(away) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 27, 2023 | Jägersburg(away) | 0-7 | Oberliga - Relegation Round |
| May 20, 2023 | Elversberg II(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Relegation Round |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Schott Mainz wins, 0 draws, 0 Ahrweiler BC wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2022 | Schott Mainz 4-1 Ahrweiler BC | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 27, 2022 | Ahrweiler BC 0-3 Schott Mainz | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
Last archived meeting: Schott Mainz vs Ahrweiler BC on Nov 12, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Schott Mainz score 2.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Ahrweiler BC score 1.1 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Schott Mainz | 2.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Ahrweiler BC | 1.1 | 2.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Schott Mainz sit 1st in Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar (35 points from 16 matches) and Ahrweiler BC sit 16th (12 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Schott Mainz | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 45 | 15 | 35 |
| 16 | Ahrweiler BC | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | 12 |
A question about Schott Mainz vs Ahrweiler BC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Schott Mainz vs Ahrweiler BC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Schott Mainz the favourite at 75%, against 14% for a draw and 11% for Ahrweiler BC.
- Where and when is Schott Mainz vs Ahrweiler BC played?
- Schott Mainz vs Ahrweiler BC is played on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Mainz Golden Eagles Stadium, in the Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Wormatia WormsvsTuS RW Koblenz
- Nov 21, 2026DiefflenvsFV Engers 07
- Nov 21, 2026Hertha WiesbachvsPirmasens
- Nov 21, 2026MechtersheimvsCosmos Koblenz
- Nov 21, 2026EisbachtalvsFC Emmelshausen-Karbach
- Nov 21, 2026RW WittlichvsGonsenheim
- Nov 22, 2026TuS KoblenzvsElversberg II
- Nov 22, 2026Gau-OdernheimvsAuersmacher