Schwaben Augsburg vs Illertissen: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 21Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Ernst-Lehner-Stadion, Augsburg
The Footlab model makes Illertissen the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Schwaben Augsburg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Schwaben Augsburg vs Illertissen?
Illertissen starts as the favourite with a 182-point Elo edge (1,976 vs 1,794).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Schwaben Augsburg have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Illertissen have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Augsburg II(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Wacker Burghausen(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Eichstätt(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Illertissen(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Buchbach(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Bayreuth(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | SpVgg Unterhaching(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Landsberg(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Schwaben Augsburg(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Eichstätt(away) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Schwaben Augsburg win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Illertissen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | Illertissen 2-0 Schwaben Augsburg | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| May 16, 2026 | Illertissen 2-1 Schwaben Augsburg | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Schwaben Augsburg 2-2 Illertissen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Apr 4, 2025 | Illertissen 1-1 Schwaben Augsburg | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Sep 27, 2024 | Schwaben Augsburg 0-1 Illertissen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
Last archived meeting: Illertissen vs Schwaben Augsburg on Jul 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Schwaben Augsburg score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Illertissen score 2.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Schwaben Augsburg | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Illertissen | 2.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Schwaben Augsburg sit 13th in Regionalliga - Bayern (5 points from 5 matches) and Illertissen sit 2nd (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Illertissen | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
| 13 | Schwaben Augsburg | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Schwaben Augsburg vs Illertissen?
- The Footlab model makes Illertissen the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Schwaben Augsburg.
- Where and when is Schwaben Augsburg vs Illertissen played?
- Schwaben Augsburg vs Illertissen is played on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Ernst-Lehner-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026SpVgg UnterhachingvsNürnberg II
- Nov 28, 2026EichstättvsBuchbach
- Nov 28, 2026Bayern München IIvsWacker Burghausen
- Nov 28, 2026BayreuthvsGreuther Fürth II
- Nov 28, 2026VilzingvsEltersdorf
- Nov 28, 2026AnsbachvsMemmingen
- Nov 28, 2026LandsbergvsAugsburg II
- Nov 29, 2026TSV 1860 MünchenvsFC Schweinfurt 05